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class="Themetxthover" href="http://www.lickinsbbq.com/2020/08/63.html">螺旋鋼管正確的焊接工藝參數簡單介紹</a> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="body-right">  <style> .breadCrumb a { padding: 0 8px; /* line-height: 0px; */ max-width: 100px; margin: 0; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap; } </style> <div class="breadCrumb">當前位置:首頁 > 行業新聞 > 螺紋維持強勢看漲格局或多頭思路操作</div>  <div class="row"> <div class="news-nr-box"> <h1>螺紋維持強勢看漲格局或多頭思路操作</h1> <h6><span>2020-08-18</span></h6> <p><span style="font-size:18px;">從鋼材產存數據來看，全國五大主要鋼材品種總庫存止步6連增，下降15.1萬噸，建筑鋼材庫存去化較多?？偖a量在連續反彈兩周后小幅回落2.91萬噸，建材減量較多，熱卷產量創半年新高，螺紋及鐵礦則繼續維持震蕩運行。政治局會議召開，首提國內大循環，但同時強調房住不炒。從螺紋鋼基本面的角度來看，近期因期盤搶跑導致基差走弱，期盤反彈的空間或受限于現貨及基差壓制，因此反彈或存在曲折之路。目前，雨水及高溫天氣對現貨的拖累尚未走出，但同時下半年的需求強勁與否尚未證偽，中期角度來看，汛期過后重建或對鋼材需求有所拉動，且從二季度公布的宏觀數據來看，地產及基建對經濟支撐效應明顯，中期需求并不悲觀。<br /><br />鋼材終端需求邊際改善，淡季擾動逐漸消退，市場重新看好汛期后的重建及趕工需求。沙鋼上調8月上旬的建筑鋼材價格50元/噸。<br /><br />3日，國內鋼材市場普遍上漲，唐山普方坯出廠上調20報3420元/噸。3日，國內22家建筑鋼材生產企業上調出廠價10-100元/噸?，F主要城市螺紋鋼均價3834元/噸，較上個交易日上漲29元/噸。<br /><br />鐵礦和螺紋是緊密相連的上下游品種，但是其價格走勢卻不盡相同。螺礦的價格波動規律除了源自不同的供需結構之外，也越來越強的收到期貨市場的價格博弈的影響。因此，預判價格波動時，必須更加注意把基本面情況和期貨市場變化緊密的結合起來。目前的核心邏輯是守底線調結構。多頭對下半年基建和房地產投資有所期待，因此成為了螺紋在淡季下跌的底部守護者，而鐵礦多頭高舉高打后不敢再逆風冒進，主動離場調整。新一輪的趨勢行情預計需要等到本輪淡季調整過后，通過螺紋多頭的主動向上推進來確立。<br /><br />今年商品大幅上漲的原因在于，二季度存在很嚴重的供需錯配，供給端因為疫情原因，有一些工廠復產沒有那么快，國家刺激需求而不是刺激供應，需求爆發式增長，供應受到抑制，導致產生一個很大的缺口。漲的多品種，庫存下降非常陡峭，包括螺紋鋼、銅，銅的供給受到約束，很多供給沒有出來，國家把3C技術電網采購量前置，導致需求的爆增，因而銅的庫存去化非?？?。但是價格反彈之后，到目前的這個價格很多的品種庫存去化速度已經變得平緩，有些品種開始略微有一些累庫了，從供需的角度講邊際是轉弱的?，F在大家對后面財政刺激還是有比較高的預期，包括黑色也是一樣。三季度的商品如果漲跟二季度也是不一樣的，二季度非常穩，基本上45度向上，本身是基本面供需支持，很扎實。但三季度供需有點轉弱，庫存變得平緩去化，靠流動性、靠預期推動波動會比較大。財政政策刺激的預期仍在，未來需求無法證偽，弱現實強預期會導致價格波動加大。<br /><br />螺紋構筑上漲中繼形態并發力創出新高，為反彈上漲延續格局。<br /><br />螺紋延續高位盤整，目前是強勢盤整，是強勢多頭走勢。多頭強勢階段就做多持多，走出問題我們再看。突破可順勢做多，止損30個點。前期已有多單可持有。<br /><br />螺紋鋼繼續創新高之后價格整體處在高位運行，本周螺紋庫存下行，緩解了季節性壘庫壓制，在承壓力量不足的情況下，凸顯供需格局向好的邏輯，短線支撐參考3810-3820附近。</span></p> </div> <div class="pager ks-clear"> <div class="previous fl"> <span>上一條：</span> <a 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